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martes, 11 de febrero de 2025

OPEN SOURCE ECONOMIC MODELING

 

OPEN SOURCE ECONOMIC MODELING
by Germanico Vaca

I have to be honest. The ineptitude and incompetence of Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and Peter Thiel are disappointing. But so, is the lack of patriotism and ingenuity of the US Congress, US Senate, and people from all walks of life, I must ask Jeff Bezos how is it possible that you have an entire system to run easily some models and economic scenarios and do nothing about it? What about Mark Zuckerberg why are they not funding AI for transparent governance? Do they need to be invited to develop some balls and courage to do something good for the nation? What about U.S. universities why are you not doing anything? So, I am asking you to participate in building an open-source AI economic model to expose political incompetence while offering a constructive alternative, here’s a strategic approach:

1. Open-Source Initiative on GitHub

  • I am willing to sacrifice my time and publish an AI model code on GitHub under an open-source license.
  • I am inviting contributions from universities, research institutions, and AI developers worldwide.
  • Ensure full transparency by making all data sources, assumptions, and methodologies publicly available.

2. University Collaboration & Competition

  • Announce a nationwide university challenge to develop and refine the model.
  • Offer an incentive (private funding, sponsorships, grants) for the best implementations.
  • Partner with major AI and economic research labs (MIT, Stanford, Harvard, etc.).

3. Public Dashboard for Real-Time Policy Analysis

  • Develop a live AI dashboard displaying economic projections of different policies.
  • Allow real-time comparison between Trump’s policies and alternative strategies.
  • Provide interactive simulations where users can test different tax rates, trade policies, and spending models.

4. Media & Public Awareness

  • Use social media, blogs, and YouTube to explain findings in simple terms.
  • Engage investigative journalists and economic experts to amplify the project.

5. Government & Institutional Adoption

  • Present the AI model to Congress, Federal Reserve, and economic think tanks.
  • Push for adoption in policymaking by demonstrating how AI-driven decisions outperform conventional models.
  • Secure independent audits to ensure credibility.

If we do not do this Donald Trump is going to destroy this nation. So, we need to act. Bottom of Form

 

Proposal for AI-Driven Economic Modeling Study for Congress


1. Introduction

The rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and computational modeling offer unprecedented opportunities to analyze economic policies with high precision. This proposal seeks congressional support for a federally funded AI-driven economic modeling study to assess the effects of various financial policies, including the economic impact of the Trump administration's proposals. The study will be a joint effort involving the Federal Reserve, the U.S. Treasury, the Pentagon, and independent economic research institutions.


2. Objectives

The primary objectives of the study include:

  • Analyze the Impact of Trump’s Economic Policies: Assess tax cuts, tariffs, deregulation, and cuts to federal programs.
  • Explore Alternative Economic Scenarios: Model scenarios such as progressive taxation (3-5% increase on the wealthy), corporate tax reforms, and infrastructure investment.
  • Evaluate U.S. Dollar Stability: Study the impact of BRICS economic strategies, cryptocurrency proliferation, and global shifts in reserve currency preferences.
  • Assess the Economic Effects of Federal Job Cuts: Determine the impact of reduced federal employment and spending on GDP and economic stability.
  • Model Comprehensive Immigration Policy Outcomes: Compare the long-term economic benefits of integration versus deportation of undocumented immigrants.
  • Identify Growth Strategies: Simulate high-impact infrastructure investments, workforce development, and innovation policies.

3. Methodology

The study will employ advanced AI-driven economic models that integrate real-time data and historical trends. Key methodological components include:

  • Multi-Scenario AI Simulations: AI models will run economic scenarios based on various policy options, predicting short-term and long-term effects.
  • Big Data Integration: Real-time economic indicators, government expenditures, trade balances, and employment data will be incorporated.
  • Predictive Analytics & Machine Learning: The AI will refine its models based on evolving economic conditions.
  • Sector-Specific Analysis: AI models will examine the impact on key industries such as manufacturing, technology, healthcare, and finance.

4. Expected Outcomes

The study will provide policymakers with:

  • Data-Driven Policy Recommendations: Clear insights into which policies promote sustainable economic growth.
  • Quantified Risks & Benefits: Economic trade-offs of major policy decisions, including tax reforms and tariffs.
  • Strategic Insights for U.S. Global Competitiveness: Guidance on countering BRICS initiatives and strengthening the U.S. dollar.
  • Public Transparency & Economic Forecasting: An open-access dashboard for real-time updates on economic trends.

5. Budget & Funding Requirements

The study will require funding for:

  • AI Development & Computing Resources: High-performance computing clusters and AI model development.
  • Data Acquisition & Analysis: Access to global economic data, labor statistics, and trade information.
  • Expert Personnel: Economists, AI specialists, policy analysts, and financial researchers.
  • Pilot Implementation & Reporting: Initial results within 12 months, with ongoing updates.

6. Conclusion

This AI-driven economic modeling study presents a transformative opportunity for Congress to make informed, data-backed policy decisions. By leveraging AI for economic forecasting, the United States can proactively adapt to global economic shifts, optimize fiscal strategies, and ensure long-term national prosperity.

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