The Major Flaw in Cryptos: A Dollar Dependency
by Germanico Vaca
When Bitcoin was created and the following cryptocurrencies that followed
the biggest promise was that Cryptos were going to be the salvation and were
a "Hedge" Against Fiat Collapse. The premise of Bitcoin and other
cryptocurrencies was to create a decentralized, deflationary currency immune to
government manipulation or fiat collapse. Most fans of Bitcoin often praise the
Bitcoin cap, but that cap is meaningless because Bitcoin is traded in dollars. All
cryptos are still priced, traded, and understood primarily in U.S. dollars.
This creates a paradox: if the dollar collapses, the entire valuation system
for cryptocurrencies collapses with it.
Dollar-Centric Trading, every cryptocurrency trade in major
exchanges like Coinbase, Binance, and others is fundamentally based on fiat
conversion rates. Even crypto pairs like BTC/ETH indirectly rely on the dollar
because their valuations are tied to it. If the dollar collapses, there’s no
stable unit of account to measure crypto value, rendering it meaningless.
The Derivatives Debt and Its Ticking
Time Bomb
In Washington DC and the halls of
Congress, the debate and battle are for an artificial “debt ceiling”. A new
budget and debt ceiling agreement must be reached by March 14 or there will be
a government shutdown. But such a debt ceiling is meaningless because Donald Trump's
meme coin and his wife Melania's meme adventures have shown the world how to
destroy the United States by issuing meme coins. Indeed, since all digital
coins and cryptos are traded in dollars. I do not mean to offend anyone but I
must ask. Is Elon Musk that stupid? Are all congressmen and senators so ignorant that they have not seen
what is happening? It is time that they realize two things:
- The Hidden Debt
Crisis
- The U.S.
dollar system is a usury system backed not by tangible value but by an
unfathomable mountain of debt. For as long as the US sold bonds the
system worked, but nobody wants to buy bonds anymore. BRICS nations
account for 29% of GDP with a population of 3,4 billion people (consumers)
and they are working hard to decouple from bond buying that means the
spigot is running dry and the US dollar is under attack when the real National
debt is not only the Federal debt of $36 trillion that the US falsely
claims as the NATIONAL DEBT, which real amount is 575 trillion dollars
of real US debt (towns, cities, counties, states, Medicare, Medicaid,
Social Security, Mortgages, commercial debt, unfunded liabilities etc)
plus when factoring in derivatives debt which nobody knows how much
really is. But I added the derivatives debt of 150 banks and the amount
is ($202,510,748,000,000. trillion mostly the debt from the stock market
gambling), dwarfs global GDP and underscores how fragile the system is.
- Cryptos, far
from being a solution, have added an entirely new speculative layer to
this instability because they increase the derivatives bubble.
- Crypto’s Role
in Expanding Debt
- Cryptos have
introduced extreme speculative bubbles, like the $62 billion surge in
Trump meme coins and 777 million dollar overnight increase in the
dilution of the US dollar. These bubbles are effectively diluting the dollar's
perceived value by creating massive financial activity that is
unbacked by any real economic output.
- Worse, the
trillions in crypto market cap are not treated as debt obligations
within the financial system. This creates untracked liabilities
that amplify systemic fragility.
- All cryptos
are bought, sold, and traded in US dollars, so they are creating digital
dollars outside the parameters of the fiat currency but hence diluted all
value for the US dollar. The real value of the US dollar is now parallel
to el Sucre of Ecuador in 1998 and is being devalued daily by an amount
paralleling and reciprocal to the cryptos markets. Whatever the name of
cryptos maybe they are meaningless, they are all creating US debt for
they are traded in dollars.
Trump’s Crypto Investment Proposal: A
Dangerous Amplifier
- $16 Trillion in
Cryptos
- Trump’s
proposed investment in cryptos (if it materializes) could artificially
inflate the crypto market cap while injecting even more unbacked dollars
into the system.
- Instead of
addressing the derivatives debt crisis, this would accelerate the
devaluation of the dollar because these trades are essentially based on
speculative value with no underlying real assets.
- This shall be
reason enough to call article 25 and remove Trump from the presidency for
mental incompetence and ineptness because it is obvious that through
sheer ignorance of how cryptos would destroy the economy he has set out
to carry out the destruction of the United States economy.
- A Mirage in
Digital Form
- The
speculative nature of cryptos means that their value is highly volatile
and detached from any intrinsic worth. If the dollar collapses, so does
the entire infrastructure of crypto trading and valuation. Without
a dollar or equivalent fiat to measure against, Bitcoin at
"$250,000" becomes meaningless because it cannot be
exchanged for tangible goods or services.
The Unsustainability of the U.S.
Dollar System
- Fiat Currency
Mechanism
- Historically,
fiat currencies like the dollar are supposed to rely on mechanisms like bond
issuance to back their value and manage inflation.
- The Federal
Reserve bypassing these mechanisms by printing money out of thin air
(quantitative easing) has already strained the system. Adding crypto
speculation exacerbates this by creating phantom dollars—financial
activity with no real backing.
- The Crypto
Market as a Shadow Dollar System
- Cryptocurrencies
have become a pseudo-shadow dollar system where speculative gains feed
into the broader economy without any regulatory oversight or recognition
as debt. This is akin to a hidden leverage bubble that grows until it
bursts.
The Ultimate Collapse Scenario
If the U.S. dollar collapses, here’s what happens to cryptocurrencies:
- No Unit of
Account
- Without the
dollar (or a replacement fiat), cryptos lose their pricing mechanism.
Bitcoin at "$250,000 or a million" is meaningless if the dollar
no longer exists.
- Exchange
Infrastructure Fails
- Major crypto
exchanges rely on fiat gateways (like USD, EUR, etc.) for withdrawals and
trading. If these gateways collapse, crypto liquidity evaporates, and
coins become inaccessible digital artifacts.
- Speculative
Value Vanishes
- Cryptos derive
value largely from speculative demand. In a global financial crisis,
speculative demand would evaporate as people prioritize food, shelter,
and tangible goods over digital assets.
Conclusion: A Digital Mirage
Cryptocurrencies, while marketed as an alternative to fiat, are deeply
tied to the fiat system—particularly the U.S. dollar. If the dollar collapses,
cryptos don’t save the system; they collapse alongside it. The speculative
bubbles created by cryptos are not just unsustainable but actively contributing
to the devaluation of the dollar by creating unregulated, unbacked financial
activity.
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