As many as twenty-five million immigrants of Hispanic descent may live illegally in the United States. Donald Trump promised to initiate a massive plan of deportation. The economic cost and the human price of those policies is unbearable, notwithstanding the abuses of human and civil rights, which became the norm during his administration. Caging children in metal fences and separating small children from their families, ending up with abused and raped children in foster care should never be considered a "deterrent immigration policy". It is imperative to put forward a better plan that will not cost the United States any money but rather it will be for the benefit of our society. It is also necessary to base decisions on facts and not the lies of racist people.
Reconsidering Immigration Policy for Strategic Economic
Growth
The current approach to immigration in the U.S. comes with a
staggering financial burden. Estimates suggest that deporting only 20 million
people could cost over $500 billion, as the Sheriff’s Departments have
calculated an average apprehension and deportation cost of $25,000 per person.
When we add in the projected $500 billion expense of building and maintaining a
2,000-mile border wall (Trump’s 52 miles alone cost around $20 billion), we’re
looking at a potential $1 trillion expense for an ineffective and outdated
approach. These policies do little to resolve the larger issues and fail to
address the underlying economic and labor needs of the nation. You can deport
until the Anunnaki arrive and immigrants will be right back within weeks. It is
an ignorant absurd policy promoted by racist idiots like Stephen Miller.
Moreover, this “solution” benefits a small group of tech
moguls more than it does the American people. Figures like Peter Thiel stand to
gain from government contracts for high-tech border surveillance, drones, and
monitoring algorithms. This profit-driven surveillance infrastructure does
little to address the core economic realities of migration.
Instead, a practical and revenue-generating alternative
would involve creating a clear path to legal migration. If undocumented
individuals were given a structured five-year work permit program, they could
contribute to society and pay taxes and fees (estimated at $20,000 per
individual). These contributions would yield more than $700 billion in revenue,
which could fund workforce education programs, and boost local economies, while
avoiding the legal and economic disruption mass deportation causes to American
businesses that rely on labor from these communities.
A Forward-Thinking Vision
Adopting this comprehensive approach aligns with the U.S.'s
best interests. By encouraging legal pathways, the U.S. can reduce the
underground economy, enhance tax revenues, and alleviate labor shortages in
critical sectors. Most importantly, this plan represents a shift from viewing
Latin America as a problem to be controlled to seeing it as a partner with
mutual interests. Embracing this vision will elevate the U.S.’s role as a true
friend and ally, fostering peace, stability, and prosperity throughout the
Americas.
Key Points of the Immigration Proposal:
Recognition of Economic Contributions:
Undocumented immigrants contribute significantly to the U.S.
economy, paying $96.7 billion in taxes in 2022. This includes $60 billion to
the federal government, with a significant portion going toward programs they
cannot access, like Social Security and Medicare.
Work authorization could further boost their economic impact
by increasing wages and, consequently, their tax contributions from $40 billion
to potentially $137 billion annually. However, it goes beyond that and as a
matter of fact lawyers, doctors, insurance companies, legal fees and a lot of companies
can only benefit from laws and regulations that far from creating a massive
mess for the economy it can contribute in a very significant way.
Pathway to Legalization:
Legalization would enable undocumented immigrants to fully
participate in the labor market, leading to more substantial tax revenue,
greater economic stability, and an expanded workforce.
By formalizing their status, the proposal aims to integrate
these individuals into society, allowing them to contribute to the economy as
legal residents.
Let us estimate the tax revenue that would be collected
under the proposed scenario, we need to consider both the initial filing
fee/retroactive fine and the annual taxes paid by these immigrants. Here's a
breakdown:
1. Initial
Filing Fee / Retroactive Fine:
If each of the 25 million immigrants is required to pay
a $20,000 filing fee or retroactive fine, the total amount collected would be:
25,000,000 immigrants × 20,000 USD=500,000,000,000 USD
So, the initial revenue from the filing fee and
retroactive fine would be $500 billion.
2. Annual
Taxes:
To estimate the ongoing tax revenue, we need to assume
a certain average tax liability per immigrant. Here are some key points to
consider:
- Immigrants who are granted work permits would be
expected to pay income taxes. The exact amount would depend on their
income, tax rates, and deductions.
- The average effective federal tax rate for
individuals in the U.S. is roughly 12-22% for middle-income
earners, though this can vary significantly based on individual
circumstances.
Let's assume an average income for each
immigrant of around $30,000 per year (this is a rough estimate, as many
immigrants may earn less or more).
If the average tax rate is approximately 15% for
this group, the annual tax per immigrant would be:
30,000 USD×0.15=4,500 USD
So, the total annual tax revenue from the 25 million
immigrants would be:
25,000,000 immigrants×4,500 USD=112,500,000,000 USD
Thus, the annual tax revenue generated from
these immigrants would be approximately $112.5 billion.
3. Total
Tax Revenue Over Time:
If this program continues over multiple years, we could
multiply the annual tax revenue by the number of years the immigrants stay on
work permits and are expected to pay taxes. For example, over 10 years, the
total tax revenue would be:
112,500,000,000 USD/year×10 years=1,125,000,000,000 USD
Summary
of Estimated Revenue:
- One-time revenue from filing fees/retroactive
fines: $500 billion
- Annual tax revenue: $112.5 billion per year (assuming an
average tax rate and income).
- Over 10 years, total tax revenue would be approximately $1.125 trillion.
These estimates depend on several assumptions,
including the average income and tax rates of the immigrants, and the total
number of immigrants staying on work permits over the years. The actual figures
could vary significantly based on policy changes, economic conditions, and the
specific demographics of the immigrant group.
However, there are additional costs and fees that
immigrants would likely incur as part of the process of obtaining temporary
work permits and eventually applying for permanent status. These contributions
would add even more economic value beyond just the initial filing fee and
taxes.
Let's break down some of these potential additional
contributions:
1. Filing
Fees (for Green Card or Adjustment of Status):
The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS)
charges fees for applications related to adjusting status, applying for a green
card, and other legal processes. As of recent data, these fees range from $1,000
to $2,500 or more per applicant, depending on the specific form and whether
biometrics are required. If each of the 25 million immigrants is required to
pay such fees, it could be a substantial source of revenue.
For example, if each immigrant pays an average of $2,000
in filing fees for adjustment of status (green card application) or other
processes, that would contribute:
25,000,000 immigrants × 2,000 USD=50,000,000,000 USD
So, the filing fees could add $50 billion
in revenue.
2. Medical
Exam Fees:
Applicants for certain immigration benefits, like a
green card, are required to undergo a medical examination by an approved
physician. These exams usually cost between $100 and $500 depending on
the location and the provider. Assuming an average of $300 per person
for medical exams, the total cost for 25 million immigrants would be:
25,000,000 immigrants×300 USD=7,500,000,000 USD
Thus, $7.5 billion would be generated from
medical exam fees.
3. Medicare
and Social Security Contributions:
Immigrants granted work permits would also be required
to pay into the U.S. Social Security system (FICA taxes), which includes
Medicare and Social Security contributions. For employees, the total FICA
tax rate is 15.3%, split between the employee (7.65%) and the
employer (7.65%). While employers generally pay the employer portion, workers
pay their share, which could represent a significant contribution over time.
If we assume an average annual income of
$30,000, the worker's contribution to Medicare and Social Security would be
approximately:
30,000 USD × 0.0765=2,295 USD
For 25 million immigrants, this would total:
25,000,000 immigrants × 2,295 USD=57,375,000,000 USD
This means $57.4 billion in Medicare and Social
Security contributions could be collected annually from these immigrants,
though keep in mind that these funds would primarily go toward Social Security
and Medicare, which would benefit future retirees and healthcare recipients.
4. Insurance
Contributions:
Many immigrants are likely to be required to purchase
private health insurance as part of their temporary work permits (especially if
the program involves eligibility for subsidies through the Affordable Care Act
or other employer-provided health insurance). The cost of premiums varies, but
for the sake of estimation, let's assume an average of $4,000 per year
in premiums per immigrant.
If all 25 million immigrants purchase insurance, the
total contribution could be:
25,000,000 immigrants × 4,000 USD=100,000,000,000 USD
This would represent $100 billion in annual
insurance premiums.
5. Legal
Fees (Attorney Fees for Changing Status):
Immigrants seeking to change their status to permanent
residency (green card holders) often require legal assistance. Immigration
attorney fees for such services can range from $1,000 to $5,000 or more.
Let's assume an average fee of $3,000 per immigrant for legal services.
If 25 million immigrants require this service, the
total cost of legal fees would be:
25,000,000 immigrants × 3,000 USD=75,000,000,000 USD
This results in $75 billion in legal fees.
6. Passport
and Documentation Fees:
Applicants often need to pay for various documentation,
such as passport renewals, translations, and other processing costs. These fees
could vary widely, but let’s estimate an average cost of $200 per person
for documentation and passport-related fees.
For 25 million immigrants, this would generate:
25,000,000 immigrants × 200 USD=5,000,000,000 USD
Thus, passport and documentation fees could contribute $5
billion.
Total
Economic Contributions:
Now, let's sum up these various fees and contributions:
- Initial filing fee/retroactive fine: $500 billion
- Filing fees (adjustment of status, green card,
etc.): $50 billion
- Medical exam fees: $7.5 billion
- Medicare and Social Security contributions: $57.4 billion annually
- Health insurance premiums: $100 billion annually
- Legal fees:
$75 billion
- Passport and documentation fees: $5 billion
Total
One-Time and Ongoing Contributions:
- One-time contributions (filing fees, medical
exams, legal fees, passport fees):
500 billion+50 billion+7.5 billion+75 billion+5 billion=637.5 billion USD - Annual contributions (Medicare/Social Security, insurance premiums):
57.4 billion+100 billion=157.4 billion USD annually
Summary of Additional Economic Contributions:
- Initial one-time fees and contributions could total around $637.5 billion.
- Annual ongoing contributions (including taxes, insurance premiums, and
Medicare/Social Security contributions) could add up to approximately $157.4
billion every year.
Together, this would create a substantial boost to the
U.S. economy, not only through direct tax revenue but also through private
sector contributions (insurance, legal fees, medical exams) and support for
public welfare programs (Medicare, Social Security).
Now let us calculate the cost of a mass deportation
program, especially one targeting 25 million individuals, involves not just the
immediate logistical costs but also the long-term, systemic impacts on society,
the economy, and human lives. Deportation, is far more than just the expense of
arresting and sending people back to their home countries. It is a complex and
expensive undertaking with potentially devastating consequences. Let's walk
through a breakdown of the direct and indirect costs of such a program, as well
as the broader societal and economic implications.
1. Immediate
Costs of Arrest and Detention
If the cost of arresting each individual is $25,000,
we can begin by calculating the direct costs of detaining and deporting 25
million people.
Arrest
Costs:
The arrest process involves coordination between
federal agencies (like ICE and ATF) and local law enforcement (sheriff's
departments, police), which would require significant manpower, resources, and
infrastructure. Assuming $25,000 per person:
25,000,000 people × 25,000 USD=625,000,000,000 USD
So, the cost of arresting 25 million individuals
would be $625 billion.
Detention
Costs:
After arrest, individuals would likely be held in
detention facilities while awaiting deportation. The cost of detaining a person
varies but is generally estimated at $120-250 per day. If we assume a
conservative average of $200 per day and that each person is detained
for 30 days:
25,000,000 people × 200 USD/day×30 days=150,000,000,000 USD
The cost of detention for 30 days would be $150
billion.
2. Deportation
and Transportation Costs
The cost of physically transporting individuals back to
their home countries is another significant factor. Deportations would likely
involve chartered flights, buses, or other transportation, and those
costs can vary depending on the distance, country of origin, and other factors.
For an estimate, let's assume that it costs $5,000
per person to transport someone from the U.S. to their home country,
including all logistics, security, and travel-related expenses. That would give
us:
25,000,000 people × 5,000 USD=125,000,000,000 USD
So, the cost of deportation (transportation)
could be around $125 billion.
3. Coordination
and Administrative Costs
The effort to coordinate such a massive program would
require an enormous amount of manpower, legal resources, and administrative
infrastructure. Local law enforcement agencies (police, sheriff departments),
federal agencies (ICE, ATF), and courts would all be involved, leading to
additional costs. These would include:
- Police, Sheriff, and ATF resources for arrests and coordination
- Court costs for
processing deportation hearings, appeals, and legal challenges
- Legal defense and immigrant rights groups for representing detained individuals
Estimating these costs is difficult, but a
comprehensive estimate for a program of this scale could easily add another $50-100
billion in direct and indirect administrative costs, especially if the
program involves significant litigation.
4. Human
Costs and Societal Impact
The human costs of deportation are massive, and
they're often overlooked in purely financial terms. Deporting 25 million people
would have profound consequences, especially for their families and
communities. The social and emotional toll on individuals—including children—would
be immense.
- Family separation: Many of the individuals being deported have
children or spouses who are U.S. citizens or legal residents. The trauma
of family separation would be devastating for both the immigrants and
their families left behind.
- Child Welfare: Deporting parents would place millions of children in
precarious situations, often forcing them into foster care or care by
relatives. This would place an enormous burden on state child welfare
systems, and the long-term costs of care for displaced children (such as
education, mental health, and social services) would be substantial.
- Community Disruption: Immigrant communities form vital parts of the
social and economic fabric of many U.S. cities and towns. Removing
millions of individuals could lead to significant community instability
and strain on social services.
5. Economic
Costs: Labor Force, Businesses, and Local Economies
A large-scale deportation program would also have
severe economic consequences, especially in industries and sectors that rely on
immigrant labor. Some key impacts:
- Loss of Cheap Labor: Many industries, including agriculture,
construction, hospitality, and healthcare, depend on immigrant labor. A
sudden labor shortage could lead to increased costs for businesses and
consumers. In the agricultural sector, for instance, crops could go unharvested,
leading to reduced food production and higher prices.
- Business Closures and Disruptions: Small businesses that rely on immigrant
workers—particularly in sectors like retail, food service, and
construction—would be hit hard by a sudden loss of employees. This could
lead to closures, layoffs, and overall economic decline in immigrant-heavy
communities.
- Local Government and Social Services: States and local governments would bear the
brunt of the costs associated with family separations, child welfare, and
community services. Public schools, health services, and housing would see
increased demand from displaced children and families.
- Lost Tax Revenue: Immigrants, even those without legal status, pay taxes (sales
taxes, property taxes, and often income taxes through payroll deductions).
Removing millions of people from the labor force would result in a loss of
this tax revenue, which would further strain public finances.
6. Long-Term
Impact and Rebound Effect
Historically, mass deportations have not been effective
in reducing immigration in the long term. Many deported individuals return to the U.S.
within a short time. The rebound effect could be significant, meaning
the U.S. would essentially be spending enormous amounts of money without
solving the underlying issue.
Moreover, the trauma caused by deportation—separating
families, removing individuals from their homes and jobs—would likely create humanitarian
crises that would require additional government spending to manage in the
future.
7. The
Total Economic Cost
Let’s summarize the direct costs of a mass
deportation program, based on the estimates we've discussed:
- Arrest and Detention Costs: $625 billion (arrests) + $150 billion
(detention) = $775 billion
- Transportation Costs: $125 billion
- Coordination and Administrative Costs: $50-100 billion
- Economic Impact (lost tax revenue, labor, business disruption, social services):
Potentially $100-300 billion over time
- Human and Social Costs (family separation, child welfare, legal costs):
Hard to quantify but likely in the billions—probably hundreds of
billions in long-term societal impact
The total direct and indirect cost of deporting
25 million individuals could easily exceed $1 trillion or more, not even
accounting for the potential rebound effect.
Deportation
vs. Integration
Deportation is not a permanent solution. Given the
human, social, and economic costs associated with such a program, it could be
far more costly than a well-designed path to integration that involves
providing work permits, opportunities for citizenship, and access to services
for immigrants. The alternative—creating a comprehensive, humane system that
allows undocumented immigrants to become productive members of society—would
likely be less expensive, more effective, and far more beneficial to the U.S.
economy in the long run.
Ultimately, deportation would not only create immediate
financial burdens but also exacerbate social tensions, undermine businesses,
and result in lost opportunities for economic growth. Integrating immigrants
into the workforce, supporting their families, and facilitating legal pathways
would ultimately yield a far more sustainable and prosperous future for the
country.
If we factor in the additional revenue that could be
collected from businesses, the societal benefits from increased access to
education, and the long-term economic opportunities for both the individuals
and the broader community, the picture shifts significantly toward the
positive. Here’s how we can think about this:
1. Revenue
from Business Fines
If businesses that employ immigrants who refuse to
participate in the program (or fail to comply with new legalization
requirements) face fines of $100,000 per violation, this could be a
significant revenue source for the government.
Estimating
the Revenue from Business Violations:
- Number of businesses that hire undocumented workers: This is a bit
tricky, but estimates suggest that millions of businesses in the U.S. may
hire undocumented immigrants, especially in industries like agriculture,
construction, hospitality, and retail. Let’s estimate 5 million
businesses may be affected by this rule.
- Average fines per business: $100,000 for each violation.
If, on average, each business hires 2-5
undocumented workers (depending on the size of the company), let’s estimate
there are 10 million violations across the country.
10,000,000 violations × 100,000 USD=1,000,000,000,000 USD
So, $1 trillion in fines could be collected from
businesses that violate the law by employing undocumented immigrants who refuse
to participate in the legalization process. This is a huge potential revenue
source.
2. The
Long-Term Educational Benefits
With 25 million people suddenly becoming eligible for
education, the potential societal benefits are immense. By providing access to
education, particularly to immigrants who are currently ineligible, the United
States would create a stronger, more educated workforce capable of contributing
more effectively to the economy. Some key areas of impact:
K-12
Education:
- Increased enrollment in schools could lead to higher demand for
teachers, support staff, and resources, stimulating local economies.
- In the longer term, better educational
opportunities for these children would reduce the need for future
government spending on social services and increase lifetime earning
potential for these individuals.
College
and Trade Schools:
- If even half of the 25 million immigrants
(around 12.5 million) take advantage of opportunities to enroll in trade
schools, community colleges, or university programs, it could have a
significant economic return.
- Many immigrants would enroll in English
language programs, increasing their language proficiency and
employment potential. This would boost their contribution to the economy
by raising their productivity and allowing them to enter higher-paying
jobs.
Here’s the key: Many of these individuals would pursue
fields that are in high demand, like healthcare, technology, and skilled trades
(electricians, plumbers, technicians, etc.). As an example:
- Skilled Trades: Imagine 10 million immigrants enrolling in trades education. The
median annual wage for many skilled trades is between $40,000-$60,000
per year. If half of these 10 million workers find jobs with an average
salary of $50,000, that’s an additional $500 billion in annual
income, which would result in:
10,000,000 workers×50,000 USD=500,000,000,000 USD/year
This money would be spent on housing, consumer goods,
taxes, and more, generating further economic activity.
- College Graduates: College graduates earn significantly more than
those with only a high school education. If 5 million immigrants graduated
from a 4-year degree program, and their average salary post-graduation is $50,000
per year, that would mean:
5,000,000 graduates × 50,000 USD=250,000,000,000 USD/year
So, the education system, especially in terms of
enrollment and graduation, could generate billions in new annual income.
3. Housing
Market and Investment:
One of the long-term economic benefits is the potential
for these immigrants, once educated and employed, to enter the housing market,
build credit, and eventually become homeowners and investors.
- Homeownership: In the U.S., homeownership is one of the most significant ways
people build wealth. As more immigrants become eligible to buy homes, we
could see an increase in demand for real estate. This could help boost the
housing market, which would benefit construction, real estate, home
improvement industries, and even local governments (through property
taxes).
- If 25 million immigrants eventually purchase
homes (or at least a significant percentage), the cumulative effect could
add billions to the housing market. For example, if only 10 million
immigrants purchase homes, and the average home price is $300,000,
that would be:
10,000,000 homes×300,000 USD=3,000,000,000,000 USD
This $3 trillion boost to the housing market
would be a significant economic factor, spurring job creation in construction,
real estate, mortgage lending, home improvement, etc.
- Investing and Entrepreneurship: Once integrated, many immigrants could also
become entrepreneurs and investors. If they are given access to investment
education and capital, they might start small businesses, create jobs, and
invest in U.S. markets. This could spur innovation and lead to the
creation of new industries or the expansion of existing ones.
4. Long-Term
Economic Growth and Tax Revenue:
- Increased tax revenue: With more immigrants contributing to the economy
through work, education, business ownership, and homeownership, there
would be a significant increase in both federal and state tax revenues.
These would come from income taxes, property taxes, sales taxes, and
corporate taxes. Immigrants, once integrated into the economy, would pay a
greater share of taxes, helping to fund social programs, infrastructure,
and public services.
For example, if 25 million immigrants
contribute an additional $20,000 per year in taxes (through income,
property, and other taxes), that would generate:
25,000,000 immigrants×20,000 USD/year=500,000,000,000 USD/year
This would provide substantial additional revenue to
the government every year.
5. Social
Cohesion and Stability:
Beyond economic benefits, there's also the value of
social cohesion. By providing a path to citizenship and integration,
society would benefit from greater harmony, reduced tensions, and a sense of
belonging among immigrant communities. This stability could lead to a more
productive and peaceful society, fostering long-term growth.
Summary
of Additional Economic Benefits:
- Business Fines: Up to $1 trillion could be generated from fines levied on
businesses that fail to comply.
- Education:
Investing in education for immigrants could create a stronger, more
skilled workforce, contributing $500 billion annually in labor
income.
- Housing:
The housing market could see a $3 trillion boost as immigrants
enter the market as buyers.
- Investment:
Immigrants could also become entrepreneurs and investors, further boosting
the economy.
- Tax Revenue:
Increased tax revenue of $500 billion annually would come from
income taxes, property taxes, and business taxes.
All in all, the economic benefits of integrating 25
million immigrants into the workforce and society could far outweigh the
initial costs of the program and lead to long-term prosperity for
both immigrants and the U.S. economy as a whole. The potential for new
consumers, workers, entrepreneurs, investors, and homeowners is enormous,
and these individuals could be key drivers of future economic growth.
In short, the program could create an immense cycle of
investment, job creation, and economic stability for years to come.
But theirs is much more untapped potential in the
immigrant population, especially among those who already hold advanced degrees
and professional skills. If we can create pathways for them to revalidate their
qualifications and tap into their existing expertise, it could solve many of
the skilled labor shortages the U.S. is facing while also boosting the
economy. Particularly creating opportunities for young immigrants to enter the
military or higher education in fields like engineering and technology—could
have tremendous long-term benefits. Let's break down these points in
more detail.
1. Revalidating
Degrees for Immigrant Professionals
Many immigrants come to the U.S. with advanced
degrees in fields like engineering, law, medicine, and more, but their
qualifications often aren't recognized or they lack the necessary
certifications to work in their fields. This is a huge untapped asset
for the economy, especially considering the current shortages in skilled labor.
Creating
a Pathway to Revalidate Degrees:
If we create an official pathway for immigrants to
revalidate their degrees and qualifications through exams or additional
certification programs, this could quickly integrate skilled workers into the
U.S. labor force. Here's how it could work:
- Medical Professionals: Doctors, nurses, and other healthcare workers
would be able to go through a streamlined process to revalidate their
credentials (for example, taking required exams like the USMLE for
doctors). This could help address ongoing shortages in healthcare,
especially as the aging U.S. population increases demand for medical
services.
- Engineers:
Many immigrants with engineering degrees from their home countries could
be required to pass a certification exam or fulfill certain
requirements to work in specialized fields. Once they pass, they could
help address engineering shortages, contributing to sectors like
construction, renewable energy, tech infrastructure, and manufacturing.
- Lawyers and Other Professionals: There are also many immigrants with legal
degrees who might be able to practice law in the U.S. once they take a
series of bar exams and go through certification. These
professionals could contribute to the legal industry in areas like
immigration law, corporate law, and public defense.
Economic
Benefits:
- Filling skill gaps: Many industries in the U.S. are facing a shortage
of skilled workers in fields like healthcare, technology, and
engineering. By unlocking the potential of highly educated immigrants,
the U.S. can fill these gaps faster and more efficiently.
- Enhanced Productivity: Immigrant professionals already bring with them
a wealth of experience from their home countries, which can enrich the
U.S. workforce by introducing new perspectives and ideas.
- Higher Earnings and Tax Revenue: Skilled professionals typically earn higher
salaries than those in lower-skilled jobs. As immigrants move into their
fields of expertise, they will earn higher wages, which means they will
pay more taxes. This will generate significant additional tax revenue
for local, state, and federal governments.
2. Offering
Enrollment in the U.S. Military
Another powerful idea is offering young immigrant men
(aged 17-21) the opportunity to join the U.S. military. This idea
could serve multiple purposes:
Military
Service as a Pathway to Citizenship and Education:
- National Security: With geopolitical tensions rising globally, the
U.S. military needs to ensure it has enough trained personnel to
defend the country. Immigrants could provide a valuable resource
for meeting these national defense needs. Additionally, many young people
in this age group are looking for structure and purpose, and joining the
military could provide both.
- Citizenship and Benefits: Service in the military could be used as a pathway
to citizenship. In exchange for their service, these young individuals
could receive accelerated paths to permanent residency and eventual
citizenship, as well as benefits like GI Bill education assistance.
- Education and Training: The military offers significant opportunities
for career training in fields like cybersecurity, engineering,
medical fields, and aviation, all of which align with areas
where the U.S. needs skilled workers. By allowing immigrants to join the
military and get trained in these areas, you’re increasing the national
talent pool while also fostering a sense of civic duty and
integration.
Economic
and Social Benefits:
- Skilled Workforce: The military could train immigrants in skills
that are in high demand in civilian industries, particularly in technology
(cybersecurity, IT, and communication), engineering, and medicine.
- Civic Integration: Military service fosters a sense of national
identity and civic responsibility, which could contribute to
greater social cohesion and reduce divisions within the population.
- Reduced Military Recruiting Costs: By tapping into the pool of young, motivated
immigrants, the military could meet recruiting goals more effectively
without having to spend as much on recruitment campaigns, training, and
advertising.
3. Scholarships
and Education in Engineering, Technology, and Other Key Fields
A targeted scholarship program for immigrants
(especially those who demonstrate academic potential) could be another powerful
tool to help address skilled labor shortages. If we focus on areas like engineering,
technology, and science, the U.S. can create a pipeline of
workers for industries that are critical to national and economic security.
Engineering
and Technology Focus:
- Building a Competitive Workforce: Offering scholarships for engineering and
technology programs could help the U.S. produce more highly skilled
workers in sectors that are foundational to economic growth, such as artificial
intelligence, renewable energy, and biotechnology.
- Addressing the Tech Talent Gap: The U.S. tech industry, from Silicon Valley to
smaller tech hubs, is facing a severe shortage of skilled labor. By
targeting immigrants who have the potential to succeed in these fields and
offering them scholarships, the U.S. can not only meet the demand for
talent but also keep its competitive edge in global technology.
- Long-Term Economic Growth: Investing in education leads to a highly
skilled, highly productive workforce. Immigrants who graduate with degrees
in engineering and technology will not only benefit from higher
earnings and greater career mobility, but they will also
contribute to innovation, entrepreneurship, and economic dynamism.
4. Fostering
Entrepreneurship and Innovation
Many immigrants are entrepreneurs at heart. Once
they are integrated into the U.S. education system and workforce, they are more
likely to start businesses, invest in local economies, and create new
jobs. There could also be initiatives to help immigrant entrepreneurs
access startup capital and mentorship.
Economic
Impact of Immigrant Entrepreneurs:
- Job Creation: Immigrant entrepreneurs have historically contributed
significantly to the creation of new businesses, which in turn generate
jobs. For example, immigrants have founded more than 40% of
Fortune 500 companies.
- Innovation:
Immigrants bring fresh ideas, new perspectives, and experiences that can
drive innovation and disrupt existing industries, creating new
markets and solutions.
- Boosting Local Economies: As immigrants start businesses, they also help
revitalize local economies, particularly in cities and regions that
have a lot of immigrant populations.
Summary
of Additional Benefits and Potential Economic Impact:
- Revalidating Degrees: Unlocking the potential of immigrant
professionals could fill skill gaps in healthcare, engineering,
law, and more, leading to better productivity, higher wages, and
increased tax revenue. This could add tens of billions annually to
the economy.
- Military Service Pathway: Offering young immigrants, the opportunity to
join the military not only provides a path to citizenship and education
but also helps with national defense and addressing skill shortages
in fields like cybersecurity and engineering.
- Scholarships in Tech & Engineering: By offering scholarships for immigrants
in key fields like engineering, technology, and science,
the U.S. can address skill shortages while fostering a highly competitive
workforce that drives economic growth and technological
advancement.
- Entrepreneurship: Immigrant entrepreneurs would create new businesses, jobs, and
innovations, providing long-term economic growth and community
revitalization.
By integrating these ideas into a broader strategy for immigrant
integration, the U.S. could address labor shortages, increase tax
revenue, foster innovation, and create a more prosperous,
inclusive society. This holistic approach would not only solve immediate
challenges but also create lasting positive effects for the country.
Holistic Approach to Immigration and Economic Policy:
The plan also considers broader economic trends, such as the
repatriation of American companies due to shifting trade dynamics with China
and the growing influence of BRICS in creating alternatives to the U.S. dollar
in global payments.
Addressing these economic shifts could help mitigate the
need for mass immigration by creating job opportunities domestically and
aligning U.S. labor needs with the available workforce.
The Reality of Global Competition and the Role of Latin
American Talent
At the same time, the U.S. is facing intensified global
competition, especially as China has started to oust American corporations from
manufacturing within its borders, freezing assets, and facilities of companies
seen as supporting Taiwan. Additionally, the recent BRICS agreements, involving
nations with a combined population of 3.4 billion, position nearly half the
world’s population to adopt new economic structures, reshaping global trade and
investment. To remain competitive, the U.S. will need a greater and more
skilled workforce. This can be achieved not through exclusionary policies but
by effectively integrating talent from Latin America and other regions.
A pathway that acknowledges and validates the professional
credentials of immigrants from Latin America is vital. Many
professionals—engineers, doctors, and scientists—come from respected
institutions but find themselves relegated to menial jobs in the U.S. because
their credentials aren’t recognized. By providing a clear system to validate
foreign degrees, the U.S. can tap into this skilled labor pool, leveraging
Latin America’s highly educated workforce instead of wasting it. This would not
only bolster the economy but also help the U.S. keep pace in innovation and
competitiveness.
Investing in Partnership and Infrastructure Development
Alongside immigration reform, the U.S. should pursue
partnerships for strategic investments across the Americas. Supporting
infrastructure projects, like the proposed Integral Development Plan to create
a high-speed rail from Alaska to Antarctica, would spur technological
advancement and create massive job opportunities across the continent. The U.S.
can lead as a true partner by prioritizing mutual growth and regional stability
rather than relying on outdated tactics that foster resentment and instability.
Ultimately, a modern immigration strategy, along with a
commitment to Latin American partnerships, could secure a competitive edge for
the U.S., leverage the strengths of a diverse workforce, and transform the
Americas into a region of shared prosperity rather than a source of contention.
This shift in approach would emphasize cooperation and respect, positioning the
U.S. as both a global leader and a trusted ally.
Alternative to Deportation:
Unlike policies that focus on mass deportation, this
approach emphasizes the economic benefits of integration rather than the costs
of removal.
It suggests that focusing on deportation is not only
inhumane but also economically unwise, as it disregards the contributions of
millions of people who are already part of the U.S. economy.
Need for a Shift in Perspective:
The proposal argues for a change in mindset, recognizing
each person’s potential contribution rather than viewing undocumented
immigrants as a burden.
It calls for moving beyond divisive rhetoric to practical
solutions that benefit both immigrants and American society, avoiding the
pitfalls of past policy decisions that have focused more on exclusion than
inclusion.
This plan is grounded in economic data and a desire to
create a more inclusive society, aiming to leverage the potential of
undocumented immigrants for the betterment of the U.S. economy. It also
highlights the need for economic policies that align with global shifts and the
importance of addressing the broader economic challenges facing the U.S.
My proposal outlines a comprehensive and pragmatic approach
to immigration reform, with an emphasis on economic integration, efficiency,
and long-term benefits for both immigrants and the U.S. economy. Here's a
summary of the key points and the strategies I propose:
Key Aspects of Immigration Reform Plan:
Economic Logic over Deportation Costs:
Deporting undocumented immigrants is prohibitively
expensive, with estimates suggesting it could cost around $500 billion to
deport 20 million people. Instead, my plan focuses on generating revenue by
requiring undocumented immigrants to pay fees, which would contribute
positively to the economy rather than creating additional costs.
This approach also seeks to avoid the repetitive cycle of
deportation and reentry, which adds further costs without solving the
underlying issues.
Introduction of a New Legal Framework:
The plan proposes replacing the term "illegal
immigrants" with a new legal status based on agreements with the U.S.
government. Those seeking to work in the U.S., whether temporarily or
permanently, must sign agreements to pay $20,000 over ten years to obtain work
permits and eventually apply for green cards and citizenship.
A key condition for citizenship is maintaining a crime-free
record and completing at least five years of residency before eligibility.
Penalty for Unauthorized Employment:
To discourage illegal hiring practices, businesses that
employ undocumented workers without legal agreements would face significant
fines of $100,000 per violation. This measure aims to encourage employers to
hire documented workers and to integrate undocumented immigrants into the
formal economy.
Registration and Path to Work Authorization:
A streamlined registration process would allow undocumented
immigrants to register through a government website, sign the necessary
agreement, and receive a temporary social security number to work legally. This
would cut down on costs related to legal proceedings, detentions, and
enforcement.
Undocumented immigrants already in detention centers could
also opt to pay the required fee to gain work authorization and avoid
deportation.
Focus on Education and Skill Development:
The plan requires undocumented immigrants to take English
classes, obtain skills training, and work toward certifications that would
enhance their ability to contribute to the U.S. economy. These measures aim to
integrate immigrants more fully and increase their productivity and earning
potential.
Clear Consequences for Non-compliance and Criminal
Behavior:
Individuals with criminal records would lose the possibility
of obtaining a green card, and those who fail to register within a specified
period would have to opt for voluntary deportation.
Future border crossings would incur a $10,000 fine per
violation, establishing a deterrent while offering a path to legal status for
those willing to comply.
Revenue Generation and Economic Benefits:
By charging a "fee and fine" for legal status, the
plan estimates generating at least $700 billion over several years,
significantly offsetting the costs of current immigration enforcement policies.
These funds could be reinvested in social services,
infrastructure, and economic development programs, effectively turning the
immigration issue from a financial burden into an economic asset.
Adjusting Refugee Policy:
The proposal eliminates refugee status as an immigration
pathway, advocating for a uniform process where all individuals, regardless of
their origin or circumstances, follow the same rules and obligations.
Child Welfare Considerations:
Children in the custody of the U.S. would be offered avenues
for reunification with their families or placed for adoption if reunification
isn't possible, ensuring humane treatment while adhering to new immigration
guidelines.
Addressing Misinformation and Fostering Realistic
Perspectives:
The plan emphasizes the need to challenge misinformation
about undocumented immigrants, highlighting their potential contributions. It
points out that many of these individuals are skilled and willing to work,
offering a counter-narrative to negative portrayals often used in political
discourse.
Broader Economic and Global Context:
Addressing Global Economic Shifts: The plan recognizes the
need for the U.S. to remain competitive in light of global changes, such as the
rise of the BRICS alliance and the ongoing war in Ukraine. It argues that
growing the U.S. population through immigration could help balance the economic
influence of countries with larger populations.
Reinvigorating Domestic Manufacturing: As American companies
face challenges in China and other markets, the plan emphasizes the importance
of reshoring manufacturing jobs and integrating a larger workforce to drive
economic recovery and innovation.
Final Takeaway:
My plan presents a path forward that balances the humane
treatment of undocumented immigrants with economic pragmatism, focusing on
long-term benefits rather than short-term, costly solutions. It proposes a
structured way to integrate millions of undocumented immigrants into the U.S.
economy while simultaneously addressing labor needs, bolstering public
revenues, and improving social stability. By shifting away from punitive
measures and towards productive solutions, my approach aims to foster a more inclusive
and resilient America in the face of global challenges.
My proposed immigration policy presents a structured
approach to integrating undocumented immigrants into the U.S. economy while
addressing both economic and humanitarian aspects. It prioritizes contributions
through work and taxes, offering a pathway to legalization that emphasizes
accountability and participation in the economy. By shifting the focus from
costly deportation measures to fostering a legal, taxpaying workforce, the plan
could indeed provide a substantial economic boost while reducing administrative
costs and improving social stability.
The emphasis on training, skill-building, and English
education supports smoother integration into the job market, particularly in
industries facing labor shortages. My approach to leveraging the existing
workforce as a competitive strategy against global economic shifts like BRICS
is a compelling angle, as it suggests a long-term view of strengthening the
U.S. economy from within.
By addressing the real-world challenges and opportunities
undocumented immigrants bring, this plan aims to turn a contentious issue into
a mutually beneficial solution for both immigrants and the broader American
society.